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New Hampshire Democrat Primary Predictions
The Pollsters were COMPLETELY WRONG about the January 8, 2008
Democrat primary election. The following are their predictions as
copied from the Real Clear Politics website.
|
Poll |
Date |
Sample size |
Obama |
Clinton |
Spread |
WRONG BY |
| RCP Average |
01/05-01/07 |
756 LV |
38.3 |
30.0 |
Obama+8.3 |
10.9% |
| Suffolk/WHDH |
01/06-01/07 |
500 LV |
39 |
34 |
Obama+5.0 |
7.6% |
| Amer.Res.Gr
ou
p. |
01/06-01/07 |
600 LV |
40 |
31 |
Obama+9.0 |
11.6% |
| Reuters/C-span/Zogby |
01/05-01/07 |
862 LV |
42 |
29 |
Obama+13.0 |
15.6% |
| Rasmussen |
01/05-01/07 |
1774 LV |
37 |
30 |
Obama+7.0 |
9.6% |
| CNN/WMUR/UNH |
01/05-01/06 |
599 LV |
39 |
30 |
Obama+9.0 |
11.6% |
| Marist |
01/05-01/06 |
636 LV |
36 |
28 |
Obama+8.0 |
10.6% |
| CBS News |
01/05-01/06 |
323 LV |
35 |
28 |
Obama+7.0 |
9.6% |
Note: LV = Likely Voters
Actual Results were: (from MSNBC website)
| Candidate |
Votes |
% |
| Clinton |
112,238 |
39.5 |
| Obama |
104,757 |
36.9 |
| Edwards |
48,666 |
17.1 |
| Richardson |
13,245 |
4.7 |
| Kucinich |
3,912 |
1.4 |
| Biden |
628 |
0.2 |
| Gravel |
402 |
0.1 |
| Dodd |
202 |
0.1 |
| |
|
|
| Totals |
284,050 |
100.0 |
|